After his success sorting out the data in polls before the USA presidential election with FiveThirtyEight.com, Nate Silver tried to do the same with the Oscar, selecting the probable winners, from polls and previous prizes, for the Best Picture, Best Director and best actors (main and supporting ones) categories. He was right with the 'Slumdob Millionaire' ones, as with best Supporting Actor and Leading Actress, but failed with Leading Actor (he selected Mickey Rourke) and Supporting Actress (his bet was Taraji P. Henson).
The same mistakes (Supporting Actress and Leading Actor) than the NYT, while the readers got right with Penelope Cruz winning the Supporting Actress award.
The best pics, in Daylife.
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